Meteorological factors and non-pharmaceutical interventions explain local differences in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Austria
@article{Ledebur2021MeteorologicalFA, title={Meteorological factors and non-pharmaceutical interventions explain local differences in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Austria}, author={Katharina Ledebur and Michaela Kaleta and Jiaying Chen and Simon Lindner and Caspar Matzhold and Florian Weidle and Christoph Wittmann and Katharina Habimana and Linda Kerschbaumer and Sophie Stumpfl and Georg Heiler and Martin Bicher and Nikolas Popper and Florian Bachner and Peter Klimek}, journal={PLoS Computational Biology}, year={2021}, volume={18} }
The drivers behind regional differences of SARS-CoV-2 spread on finer spatio-temporal scales are yet to be fully understood. Here we develop a data-driven modelling approach based on an age-structured compartmental model that compares 116 Austrian regions to a suitably chosen control set of regions to explain variations in local transmission rates through a combination of meteorological factors, non-pharmaceutical interventions and mobility. We find that more than 60% of the observed regional…
8 Citations
Supporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning system
- MedicineCommunications Medicine
- 2022
Three mathematical models developed to predict the expected number of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases and hospitalizations over the next two weeks are combined to provide decision-makers and the general public with a combined forecast that is usually more accurate than any of the individual models.
Small coverage effect in epidemic network models shows that masks can become more effective with less people wearing them
- MedicineArXiv
- 2022
The results contradict the popular belief that masking becomes ineffectual as more people drop their masks and might have far-reaching implications for the protection of vulnerable population groups under resurgent infection waves.
Assessing SARS-CoV-2 Prevalence in Austria with Sample Surveys in 2020 - A Report
- MedicineAustrian Journal of Statistics
- 2022
A valid assessment of the population acutely infected by SARS-CoV-2 in Austria at three distinct points in time: April, May and November 2020 is presented.
A network-based explanation of why most COVID-19 infection curves are linear
- EconomicsProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- 2020
It is shown that for any given transmission rate there exists a critical number of social contacts, Dc, below which linear growth and low infection prevalence must occur, above which traditional epidemiological dynamics take place, e.g., as in susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) models.
Why are most COVID-19 infection curves linear?
- EconomicsmedRxiv
- 2020
It is shown that for any given transmission rate there exists a critical number of social contacts, Dc, below which linear growth and low infection prevalence must occur, above which traditional epidemiological dynamics takes place, as e.g. in SIR-type models.
Modelling the utility of group testing for public health surveillance
- EconomicsInfectious Disease Modelling
- 2021
Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients presenting for intravitreal injection
- MedicineSpektrum der Augenheilkunde
- 2020
The study provides an estimate for the prevalence of SARS-CoV‑2 infection in asymptomatic patients presenting for IVI and suggests that this patient group may be used as a baseline for future research to support risk assessment and infection prevention strategies.
References
SHOWING 1-10 OF 52 REFERENCES
Temperature and population density influence SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the absence of nonpharmaceutical interventions
- Environmental ScienceProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- 2021
It is shown that summer weather cannot be considered a substitute for mitigation policies, but that lower autumn and winter temperatures may lead to an increase in transmission intensity in the absence of policy interventions or behavioral changes, and that lower temperatures and higher population densities are correlated with increased SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
Impact of meteorological factors on the COVID-19 transmission: A multi-city study in China
- Environmental ScienceScience of The Total Environment
- 2020
Warmer weather unlikely to reduce the COVID-19 transmission: An ecological study in 202 locations in 8 countries
- Environmental ScienceScience of The Total Environment
- 2020
A spatio-temporal analysis for exploring the effect of temperature on COVID-19 early evolution in Spain
- Environmental ScienceScience of The Total Environment
- 2020
Revealing fine-scale spatiotemporal differences in SARS-CoV-2 introduction and spread
- Environmental ScienceNature communications
- 2020
Analysis of 247 full-genome SARS-CoV-2 sequences from two nearby communities in Wisconsin, USA finds surprisingly distinct patterns of viral spread, which suggest patterns of Sars-Cov-2 transmission may vary substantially even in nearby communities.
Meteorological factors and COVID-19 incidence in 190 countries: An observational study
- Environmental ScienceScience of The Total Environment
- 2020
The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission across 130 countries and territories
- MedicineBMC Medicine
- 2021
The effectiveness of school closure and internal movement restrictions appears robust across different model specifications, with some evidence that other NPIs may also be effective under particular conditions, as well as temporal clustering between many of the NPIs.
Nonlinear modulation of COVID‐19 transmission by climate conditions
- Environmental ScienceMeteorological Applications
- 2021
COVID‐19 is spreading rapidly worldwide, posing great threats to public health and economy. This study aims to examine how the transmission of COVID‐19 is modulated by climate conditions, which is of…
The temporal association of introducing and lifting non-pharmaceutical interventions with the time-varying reproduction number (R) of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study across 131 countries
- MedicineThe Lancet Infectious Diseases
- 2020
Increasing Temperature and Relative Humidity Accelerates Inactivation of SARS-CoV-2 on Surfaces
- BiologymSphere
- 2020
The effects of relative humidity, temperature, and droplet size on the stability of SARS-CoV-2 in a simulated clinically relevant matrix dried on nonporous surfaces suggest that a potential for fomite transmission may persist for hours to days in indoor environments and have implications for assessment of the risk posed by surface contamination in indoors environments.