Meta-analysis of the effect of natural frequencies on Bayesian reasoning.

  title={Meta-analysis of the effect of natural frequencies on Bayesian reasoning.},
  author={Michelle E McDowell and Perke Jacobs},
  journal={Psychological bulletin},
  volume={143 12},
The natural frequency facilitation effect describes the finding that people are better able to solve descriptive Bayesian inference tasks when represented as joint frequencies obtained through natural sampling, known as natural frequencies, than as conditional probabilities. The present meta-analysis reviews 20 years of research seeking to address when, why, and for whom natural frequency formats are most effective. We review contributions from research associated with the 2 dominant… CONTINUE READING
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