Merging quantile regression with forecast averaging to obtain more accurate interval forecasts of Nord Pool spot prices

Abstract

We evaluate a recently proposed method for constructing prediction intervals, which utilizes the concept of quantile regression (QR) and a pool of point forecasts of different time series models. We find that in terms of interval forecasting of Nord Pool day-ahead prices the new QR-based approach significantly outperforms prediction intervals obtained from… (More)

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