Mechanistic modelling of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic

  title={Mechanistic modelling of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic},
  author={D. He and J. Dushoff and T. Day and Junling Ma and D. Earn},
  journal={Theoretical Ecology},
  • D. He, J. Dushoff, +2 authors D. Earn
  • Published 2011
  • Biology
  • Theoretical Ecology
  • Influenza pandemics through history have shown very different patterns of incidence, morbidity and mortality. In particular, pandemics in different times and places have shown anywhere from one to three “waves” of incidence. Understanding the factors that underlie variability in temporal patterns, as well as patterns of morbidity and mortality, is important for public health planning. We use a likelihood-based approach to explore different potential explanations for the three waves of incidence… CONTINUE READING

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