Mechanistic modelling of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic

@article{He2011MechanisticMO,
  title={Mechanistic modelling of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic},
  author={Daihai He and Jonathan Dushoff and Troy Day and Junling Ma and David J. D. Earn},
  journal={Theoretical Ecology},
  year={2011},
  volume={4},
  pages={283-288}
}
Influenza pandemics through history have shown very different patterns of incidence, morbidity and mortality. In particular, pandemics in different times and places have shown anywhere from one to three “waves” of incidence. Understanding the factors that underlie variability in temporal patterns, as well as patterns of morbidity and mortality, is important for public health planning. We use a likelihood-based approach to explore different potential explanations for the three waves of incidence… 

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