Mechanisms, Bayesianism, and process tracing

  title={Mechanisms, Bayesianism, and process tracing},
  author={James Mahoney},
  journal={New Political Economy},
  pages={493 - 499}
  • J. Mahoney
  • Published 11 July 2016
  • Philosophy
  • New Political Economy
ABSTRACT This essay examines the role of mechanisms and Bayesian inference in process tracing. With respect to mechanisms, I argue that the core of process tracing with causal inference is the identification of mechanisms understood as intervening events. Events are different from standard intervening variables when used with process tracing, because events are treated as sets in which cases can have membership. With respect to Bayesian analysis, I concur with recent writings that suggest… 
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