Mapping Physiological Suitability Limits for Malaria in Africa Under Climate Change

  title={Mapping Physiological Suitability Limits for Malaria in Africa Under Climate Change},
  author={Sadie Jane Ryan and Amy McNally and Leah R. Johnson and Erin A. Mordecai and Tal Ben‐Horin and Krijn P. Paaijmans and Kevin D. Lafferty},
  journal={Vector Borne and Zoonotic Diseases},
  pages={718 - 725}
Abstract We mapped current and future temperature suitability for malaria transmission in Africa using a published model that incorporates nonlinear physiological responses to temperature of the mosquito vector Anopheles gambiae and the malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum. We found that a larger area of Africa currently experiences the ideal temperature for transmission than previously supposed. Under future climate projections, we predicted a modest increase in the overall area suitable for… 

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