M ≥ 7.0 earthquake recurrence on the San Andreas fault from a stress renewal model

@article{Parsons2006M7,
  title={M ≥ 7.0 earthquake recurrence on the San Andreas fault from a stress renewal model},
  author={T. Parsons},
  journal={Journal of Geophysical Research},
  year={2006},
  volume={111}
}
  • T. Parsons
  • Published 2006
  • Geology
  • Journal of Geophysical Research
  • [1] Forecasting M ≥ 7.0 San Andreas fault earthquakes requires an assessment of their expected frequency. I used a three-dimensional finite element model of California to calculate volumetric static stress drops from scenario M ≥ 7.0 earthquakes on three San Andreas fault sections. The ratio of stress drop to tectonic stressing rate derived from geodetic displacements yielded recovery times at points throughout the model volume. Under a renewal model, stress recovery times on ruptured fault… CONTINUE READING

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