Losers, Winners and Biased Trades
@article{Tellis2005LosersWA, title={Losers, Winners and Biased Trades}, author={Gerard J. Tellis and Deborah J. MacInnis and Joseph M. Johnson}, journal={FEN: Behavioral Finance (Topic)}, year={2005} }
When faced with sequential information, consumers tend to fall prey to one of two well-known heuristics: the hot (or cold) hand and the gambler's fallacy. The authors relate these two traditionally separate heuristics to differences in accepting (buy) versus rejecting (sell) decisions. They identify trend length as a contextual moderating variable and show an asymmetry between buying and selling frames. When applied to a stock market context, a consistent finding is that consumers prefer to buy…
96 Citations
Blowing bubbles: Heuristics and biases in the run-up of stock prices
- Business
- 2005
Ads of stocks and mutual funds typically tout their past performance, despite a disclosure that past performance does not guarantee future returns. Are consumers motivated to buy or sell based on…
Selling losers and keeping winners: How (savings) goal dynamics predict a reversal of the disposition effect
- Psychology
- 2013
A well-documented behavioral pattern in consumer financial decision making is the disposition effect, which refers to the tendency to sell winning investments too early while holding on to losing…
ASSOCIATION FOR CONSUMER RESEARCH
- Psychology
- 2015
To advertise a promotional lottery or sweepstake, it is common to feature previous winners, with some personal information. We show that respondents estimate their odds of winning the next drawing to…
Behavioral Decision Making in the (Q,R) Purchasing Model: An Experimental Study
- Psychology
- 2014
This paper presents and analyzes the results of a decision‐making experiment in inventory management under uncertainty. The experiment included 81 participants who played the role of a small car…
Investment Trios Are Less Prone to the Hot Hand and Gambler’s Fallacies and Make Better Investment Strategies
- EconomicsEuropean Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies
- 2018
An experimental study was conducted to determine the minimum group size for which the mitigating effect for the hot hand and gambler’s fallacies can be felt. This is quantified by looking if groups…
Does the Color of Feedback Affect Investment Decisions
- Economics
- 2013
This paper presents a multi-period experiment that extends a classic experiment on investment allocation preferences by adding colors to the feedback returned to participants. The results show that…
The Long and Short of it: Why are Stocks with Shorter Runs Preferred?
- Business
- 2003
This article examines how consumers process graphical financial information to estimate risk. We propose that consumers sample the local maxima and minima of a graph to infer the variation around a…
Behavioral biases in marketing
- BusinessJournal of the Academy of Marketing Science
- 2019
Psychology and economics (together known as behavioral economics) are two prominent disciplines underlying many theories in marketing. The extensive marketing literature documents consumers’…
Self-Attribution Bias in Consumer Financial Decision-Making: How Investment Returns Affect Individuals' Belief in Skill
- Economics, Psychology
- 2014
Self-attribution bias is a long-standing concept in psychology research and refers to individuals’ tendency to attribute successes to personal skills and failures to factors beyond their control.…
Impact of Mad Money Stock Recommendations: Merging Financial and Marketing Perspectives
- Business
- 2009
This article relies on advertising and persuasive communications theories to uncover persistent variations in investor response to television stock recommendations targeting naive investors. The…
References
SHOWING 1-10 OF 26 REFERENCES
Choosing versus rejecting: Why some options are both better and worse than others
- PsychologyMemory & cognition
- 1993
A previously unobserved pattern of choice behavior is predicted and corroborated, and the positive and negative dimensions of options are expected to loom larger when one is choosing andWhen one is rejecting, respectively.
Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses?
- Economics
- 1996
I test the disposition effect, the tendency of investors to hold losing investments too long and sell winning investments too soon, by analyzing trading records for 10,000 accounts at a large…
Explaining the price-volume relationship: The difference between price changes and changing prices
- Economics
- 1988
Does the Stock Market Overreact
- Economics
- 1985
Research in experimental psychology suggests that, in violation of Bayes' rule, most people tend to "overreact" to unexpected and dramatic news events. This study of market efficiency investigates…
Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk
- Economics, Business
- 1993
For many years, stock market analysts have argued that value strategies outperform the market. These value strategies call for buying stocks that have low prices relative to earnings, dividends, book…
Hot Hands in Mutual Funds: Short‐Run Persistence of Relative Performance, 1974–1988
- Economics
- 1993
The relative performance of no-load, growth-oriented mutual funds persists in the near term, with the strongest evidence for a one-year evaluation horizon. Portfolios of recent poor performers do…
Efficient Capital Markets: II
- Economics
- 1991
SEQUELS ARE RARELY AS good as the originals, so I approach this review of the market efficiency literature with trepidation. The task is thornier than it was 20 years ago, when work on efficiency was…
Another look at reasons for choosing and rejecting
- PsychologyMemory & cognition
- 1997
The accentuation model was tested against weight-change models in two experiments, one using various decision scenarios and the other using four-trait adjective descriptions of potential roommates, which were consistent with accentuation theory and inconsistent with a systematic change in weighting of positive and negative attributes across choice and rejection tasks.
The theory of value and earnings, and an introduction to the Ball‐Brown analysis*
- Economics
- 1991
. The paper develops a simple and parsimonious model that relates earnings and unexpected earnings to market returns. The analysis emphasizes that any model under uncertainty must be consistent with…