Linear models in decision making.

@article{Dawes1974LinearMI,
  title={Linear models in decision making.},
  author={Robyn M. Dawes and Bernard Corrigan},
  journal={Psychological Bulletin},
  year={1974},
  volume={81},
  pages={95-106}
}
View via Publisher
1,778 Citations
Highly Influential Citations
27
Background Citations
392
Methods Citations
142
Results Citations
49

1,778 Citations

Author ' s personal copy A closer look at decisions to quit
Aspects of March and Simon’s (1958) subjective expected utility model and a prediction of Lee and Mitchell’s (1994) unfolding model of voluntary employee turnover were tested. A policy capturing…
Anomaly handling : strategic flexibility in a complex problem-solving environment
TLDR
It appears that mental set can refine the detection of perceptually relevant patterns, which can signal sudden changes in pattern that can lead to a switch from recognition-based to inferential task solution strategies and thereby confer a benefit to decision making in a task of anomaly categorisation.
Psychological Heuristics for Making Inferences: Definition, Performance, and the Emerging Theory and Practice
TLDR
Arguing for a multimethod, multidisciplinary approach to the theory and practice of inference and decision making is argued.
Advances in Data Analysis, Data Handling and Business Intelligence - Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Conference of the Gesellschaft für Klassifikation e.V., Joint Conference with the British Classification Society (BCS) and the Dutch/Flemish Classification Society (VOC), Helmut-Schmidt-University, Ha
Invited.- Semi-supervised Probabilistic Distance Clustering and the Uncertainty of Classification.- Strategies of Model Construction for the Analysis of Judgment Data.- Clustering of High-Dimensional…
Strategies of Model Construction for the Analysis of Judgment Data
TLDR
It is concluded that any model for the analysis of judgment data implies the selection of a formal theory about judgments, and models satisfying construct validity seem superior in the domain of judgments and decisions.
On Heuristic and Linear Models of Judgment: Mapping the Demand for Knowledge
Research on judgment and decision making presents a confusing picture of human abilities. For example, much research has emphasized the dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics, and yet, other…
Assessing health state preferences and the decision to medicate in overactive bladder
TLDR
The aim of this book was to provide a chronology of the events and figures that led to the invention of the vita.
Comparative efficiency of informal (subjective, impressionistic) and formal (mechanical, algorithmic) prediction procedures: The clinical–statistical controversy.
Given a data set about an individual or a group (e.g., interviewer ratings, life history or demographic facts, test results, self-descriptions), there are two modes of data combination for a…
Human Expertise, Statistical Models, and Knowledge-Based Systems
TLDR
A comparison of human expert judgment with statistical models, particularly linear regression models, concludes that statistical techniques have been shown to be more accurate than human experts given knowledge of which variables to include in the analysis and the relevant data.
Group Size and Performance: Prediction of Failure by Loan Officers
...
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 38 REFERENCES
Consistency and Optimality in Managerial Decision Making
This paper reports some research, ideas, and theory about managerial decision making. The first research projects dealt with are aggregate production and employment scheduling. From this is developed…
Clinical versus Statistical Prediction.
Multiple regression as a model for human information utilization
The Use of Simulated Stimuli and the "Jan" Technique to Capture and Cluster the Policies of Raters
TLDR
The process of capturing policies and of determining their general similarities and differences are two distinctly separate problems and have received considerably different emphasis on the literature.
Comparison of Two Approaches—Jan and Prof—for Capturing Rater Strategies
TLDR
The use of the Bottenberg-Christal JAN technique for the isolation of rater policies is described and the JAN outcome for one of four air force specialties analyzed.
Statistics for psychologists
Multiple Regression vs. Simple Addition of Scores in Prediction of College Grades
a problem-should he use a statistically precise but also more complicated method such as multiple correlation technique, or should he sacrifice some accuracy of prediction in favor of speed and ease…
Analyzing the expert judge: A descriptive study of a stockbroker's decision process.
This study illustrates an analysis-of-variance technique for describ ing the use of information by persons making complex judgments. Ss were two stockbrokers who rated the growth potential of stocks…
A note on alternative methods for estimating factor scores.
The Effect of Variations in the Cue R Matrix Upon the Obtained Policy Equation of Judges
...
...