Corpus ID: 220280485

Levels and trends in the sex ratio at birth in seven provinces of Nepal between 1980 and 2016 with probabilistic projections to 2050: a Bayesian modeling approach

@article{Chao2020LevelsAT,
  title={Levels and trends in the sex ratio at birth in seven provinces of Nepal between 1980 and 2016 with probabilistic projections to 2050: a Bayesian modeling approach},
  author={Fengqing Chao and K. Samir and H. Ombao},
  journal={arXiv: Applications},
  year={2020}
}
The sex ratio at birth (SRB; ratio of male to female births) in Nepal has been reported without imbalance on the national level. However, the national SRB could mask the disparity within the country. Given the demographic and cultural heterogeneities in Nepal, it is crucial to model Nepal SRB on the subnational level. Prior studies on subnational SRB in Nepal are mostly based on reporting observed values from surveys and census, and no study has provided probabilistic projections. We aim to… Expand
2 Citations

Figures and Tables from this paper

Projecting sex imbalances at birth at global, regional and national levels from 2021 to 2100: scenario-based Bayesian probabilistic projections of the sex ratio at birth and missing female births based on 3.26 billion birth records
Introduction Skewed levels of the sex ratio at birth (SRB) due to sex-selective abortions have been observed in several countries since the 1970s. They will lead to long-term sex imbalances in moreExpand
Scenario-Based Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of the Sex Ratio at Birth and Missing Female Births (JSM 2020)
The slides were presented on Aug 4th, 2020, in the 2020 Joint Statistical Meeting (virtual meeting).We describe a method for probabilistic scenario-based projection of the sex ratio at birth (SRB;Expand

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 106 REFERENCES
Abortion seeking behavior of Nepalese women living in Border Settlements
  • Dissemination Meeting of Situation of Reproductive Health Care Along the Border Organized by CREHPA, March 2010, Kathmandu, Nepal. CREHPA and Safe Abortion Action Fund, Kathmandu, Nepal
  • 2010
Population Monograph of Nepal, Volume II (Social Demography)
  • Central Bureau of Statistics, Ramshah Path, Kathmandu, Nepal
  • 2014
Sex imbalances at birth: Trends, consequences and policy implications
  • Thailand: UNFPA, United Nations Population Fund of Asia and the Pacific Regional Office
  • 2012
CODA: convergence diagnosis and output analysis for MCMC
[1st paragraph] At first sight, Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) appears to be straightforward. The user defines a full probability model, perhaps using one of the programsExpand
Global estimation and scenario-based projections of sex ratio at birth and missing female births using a Bayesian hierarchical time series mixture model
The sex ratio at birth (SRB) is defined as the ratio of male to female live births. The SRB imbalance in parts of the world over the past several decades is a direct consequence of sex-selectiveExpand
Levels and trends in the sex ratio at birth and missing female births for 29 states and union territories in India 1990–2016: A Bayesian modeling study
The sex ratio at birth (SRB) has risen in India and reaches well beyond the levels under normal circumstances since the 1970s. The lasting imbalanced SRB has resulted in much more males than femalesExpand
Systematic assessment of the sex ratio at birth for all countries and estimation of national imbalances and regional reference levels
TLDR
It is estimated that SRB reference levels are significantly different from the commonly assumed historical norm of 1.05 for most regions, and Bayesian methods for SRB estimation for all countries from 1950 to 2017 are developed. Expand
On the estimation of female births missing due to prenatal sex selection
TLDR
This research note starts with a brief review of the history of the concept and the difference between Amartya Sen’s original method and the alternative method found elsewhere to compute missing female births, and puts forward three different arguments in support of the original computation procedure. Expand
Probabilistic projection of the sex ratio at birth and missing female births by State and Union Territory in India
TLDR
A Bayesian hierarchical time series model is implemented to project the sex ratio at birth across India by state from 2017 to 2030, taking into account two state-specific factors that contribute to sex-selective abortion in India, resulting in sex imbalances at birth. Expand
Sex Ratio and Religion in Vietnam
We examine whether the probability of having a boy aged below 5 years in households and communes is associated with religious individuals in Vietnam using data from the 1999 Population and HousingExpand
...
1
2
3
4
5
...