Letter to the Editor

  title={Letter to the Editor},
  author={Martin Hogbin and W S Nijdam},
  journal={The American Statistician},
  pages={193 - 194}
In the referred paper the well-known Monty Hall Problem is extensively analyzed by the authors. In the calculation of the probability of winning the car by switching in the Bayesian approach, Morgan et al. calculate an average using the uniform prior resulting in a value of log(2). By using the posterior probability after the host has revealed a goat behind door No. 3, we arrive at a different result of 2/3. For a clear understanding the Monty Hall Problem will be presented in a nutshell. A… 
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  • The American Statistician