Large uncertainty in carbon uptake potential of land‐based climate‐change mitigation efforts

  title={Large uncertainty in carbon uptake potential of land‐based climate‐change mitigation efforts},
  author={A. Krause and T. M. Pugh and Anita Bayer and W. Li and F. Leung and A. Bondeau and J. Doelman and Florian Humpen{\"o}der and P. Anthoni and B. Bodirsky and P. Ciais and C. M{\"u}ller and Guillermo N. Murray-Tortarolo and S. Olin and A. Popp and S. Sitch and E. Stehfest and A. Arneth},
  journal={Global Change Biology},
  • A. Krause, T. M. Pugh, +15 authors A. Arneth
  • Published 2018
  • Environmental Science, Medicine
  • Global Change Biology
  • Most climate mitigation scenarios involve negative emissions, especially those that aim to limit global temperature increase to 2°C or less. However, the carbon uptake potential in land-based climate change mitigation efforts is highly uncertain. Here, we address this uncertainty by using two land-based mitigation scenarios from two land-use models (IMAGE and MAgPIE) as input to four dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs; LPJ-GUESS, ORCHIDEE, JULES, LPJmL). Each of the four combinations of… CONTINUE READING
    23 Citations

    Tables and Topics from this paper.

    Explore Further: Topics Discussed in This Paper

    Paper Mentions

    Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets
    • 62
    • PDF
    Global ecosystems and fire: multi-model assessment of fire-induced tree cover and carbon storage reduction.
    Pitfalls in estimating the global carbon removal via forest expansion – a comment on Bastin et al. (2019)


    Global consequences of afforestation and bioenergy cultivation on ecosystem service indicators
    • 28
    • PDF
    Simulated carbon emissions from land-use change are substantially enhanced by accounting for agricultural management
    • AArneth, AAhlström, ADBayer, KKleinGoldewijk
    • 2015
    • 36
    Economic and ecological views on climate change mitigation with bioenergy and negative emissions
    • 34
    Historical carbon dioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed
    • 153
    • PDF
    Trade‐offs for food production, nature conservation and climate limit the terrestrial carbon dioxide removal potential
    • 30
    • Highly Influential
    Uncertainties in the land use flux resulting from land use change reconstructions and gross land transitions
    • 23
    • PDF
    Soil carbon management in large-scale Earth system modelling: implications for crop yields and nitrogen leaching
    • 33
    • PDF