J. B. S. Haldane's Contribution to the Bayes Factor Hypothesis Test

@article{Etz2015JBS,
  title={J. B. S. Haldane's Contribution to the Bayes Factor Hypothesis Test},
  author={Alexander Etz and Eric-Jan Wagenmakers},
  journal={arXiv: Other Statistics},
  year={2015}
}
This article brings attention to some historical developments that gave rise to the Bayes factor for testing a point null hypothesis against a composite alternative. In line with current thinking, we find that the conceptual innovation - to assign prior mass to a general law - is due to a series of three articles by Dorothy Wrinch and Sir Harold Jeffreys (1919, 1921, 1923). However, our historical investigation also suggests that in 1932 J. B. S. Haldane made an important contribution to the… 

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