Iterative near-term ecological forecasting: Needs, opportunities, and challenges

  title={Iterative near-term ecological forecasting: Needs, opportunities, and challenges},
  author={Michael C. Dietze and Andrew N. Fox and Lindsay M. Beck-Johnson and Julio L. Betancourt and Mevin B. Hooten and Catherine S. Jarnevich and Timothy H. Keitt and Melissa A. Kenney and Christine M Laney and Laurel G. Larsen and Henry W. Loescher and Claire K. Lunch and Bryan C. Pijanowski and James T. Randerson and Emily K. Read and Andrew T. Tredennick and Rodrigo Vargas and Kathleen C. Weathers and Ethan P. White},
  journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  pages={1424 - 1432}
  • M. Dietze, A. Fox, E. White
  • Published 30 January 2018
  • Environmental Science
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Two foundational questions about sustainability are “How are ecosystems and the services they provide going to change in the future?” and “How do human decisions affect these trajectories?” Answering these questions requires an ability to forecast ecological processes. Unfortunately, most ecological forecasts focus on centennial-scale climate responses, therefore neither meeting the needs of near-term (daily to decadal) environmental decision-making nor allowing comparison of specific… 

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