It’s Nothing Personal: The Decline of the Incumbency Advantage in US House Elections

@article{Jacobson2015ItsNP,
  title={It’s Nothing Personal: The Decline of the Incumbency Advantage in US House Elections},
  author={G. C. Jacobson},
  journal={The Journal of Politics},
  year={2015},
  volume={77},
  pages={861 - 873}
}
With little fanfare, the electoral advantage enjoyed by US representatives has fallen over the past several elections to levels not seen since the 1950s. The incumbency advantage has diminished in conjunction with an increase in party loyalty, straight-ticket voting, and president-centered electoral nationalization, products of the widening and increasingly coherent partisan divisions in the American electorate. Consequently, House incumbents now have a much harder time retaining districts that… Expand
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