International Contagion Effects from the Russian Crisis and the LTCM Near-Collapse

  title={International Contagion Effects from the Russian Crisis and the LTCM Near-Collapse},
  author={Ren{\'e}e Fry and Brenda Gonz{\'a}lez-Hermosillo and Vance L. Martin},
We examine empirically the episode of extraordinary turbulence in global financial markets during 1998. The analysis focuses on the market assessment of credit risk captured by daily movements in bond spreads for twelve countries. A dynamic latent factor model is estimated using indirect inference to quantify the effects of unanticipated shocks across borders or “contagion,” controlling for common global shocks, country-specific shocks and regional factors. The results show that there were… CONTINUE READING


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