Interannual to Decadal Predictability in a Coupled Ocean – Atmosphere General Circulation Model

  title={Interannual to Decadal Predictability in a Coupled Ocean – Atmosphere General Circulation Model},
  author={A. GR{\"O}TZNER and Mojib Latif and Axel Timmermann},
The predictability of the coupled ocean–atmosphere climate system on interannual to decadal timescales has been studied by means of ensemble forecast experiments with a global coupled ocean–atmosphere general circulation model. Over most parts of the globe the model’s predictability can be sufficiently explained by damped persistence as expected from the stochastic climate model concept with damping times of considerably less than a year. Nevertheless, the tropical Pacific and the North… CONTINUE READING
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