Integrating forecasting and CGE models: The case of tourism in Scotland

  title={Integrating forecasting and CGE models: The case of tourism in Scotland},
  author={Adam Blake and Ramesh Durbarry and Juan L. Eugenio-Martin and Nishaal Gooroochurn and Brian Hay and John J. Lennon and M. Thea Sinclair and Guntur Sugiyarto and Ian Seymour Yeoman},
  journal={Tourism Management},
Abstract Information about current and forecast levels of tourism and its contribution to the economy is important for policy making by businesses and governments. Traditional forecasting methods can provide reasonable forecasts in the context of predictable changes. However, forecasting becomes problematic in the context of both predictable changes and less predictable domestic or international shocks. This paper demonstrates the ways in which an integrated model, combining traditional… Expand
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