Inertia , Optimism and Beauty

  title={Inertia , Optimism and Beauty},
  author={Patrick Hawley},
The best arguments for the 1/3 answer to the Sleeping Beauty problem all require that when Beauty awakes on Monday she should be uncertain what day it is. I argue that this claim should be rejected, thereby clearing the way to accept the 1/2 solution. 1 Inertia and Sleeping Beauty If on Monday you confidently and rationally believe that Slippery Slim is guilty, and from Monday to Tuesday you gain no new relevant evidence, then, quite plausibly, on Tuesday you should remain equally confident… CONTINUE READING

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