• Corpus ID: 220265562

Individual-level Modeling of COVID-19 Epidemic Risk

@article{Colubri2020IndividuallevelMO,
  title={Individual-level Modeling of COVID-19 Epidemic Risk},
  author={Andr{\'e}s Colubri and Kailash Chand Yadav and Abhishek Jha and Pardis C Sabeti},
  journal={arXiv: Applications},
  year={2020}
}
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic calls for a multi-faceted public health response comprising complementary interventions to control the spread of the disease while vaccines and therapies are developed. Many of these interventions need to be informed by epidemic risk predictions given available data, including symptoms, contact patterns, and environmental factors. Here we propose a novel probabilistic formalism based on Individual-Level Models (ILMs) that offers rigorous formulas for the… 

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