Incumbency Disadvantages in African Politics? Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Zambian Elections

  title={Incumbency Disadvantages in African Politics? Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Zambian Elections},
  author={B. Macdonald},
  journal={Public Choice: Analysis of Collective Decision-Making eJournal},
  • B. Macdonald
  • Published 2014
  • Political Science
  • Public Choice: Analysis of Collective Decision-Making eJournal
  • Are incumbents disproportionately advantaged at the polls relative to non-incumbents in Africa’s emerging democracies? The prevailing wisdom characterizes African politics as predominantly ‘neopatrimonial’ and ‘semi-authoritarian’, whereby incumbents systematically manipulate the electoral process to their own advantage. In stark contrast to this perspective, this regression discontinuity study finds significant incumbency disadvantages in Zambia’s local government elections and no discernible… CONTINUE READING
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