Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes

  title={Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes},
  author={Erich M. Fischer and Sebastian Sippel and Reto Knutti},
  journal={Nature Climate Change},
Recent climate extremes have broken long-standing records by large margins. Such extremes unprecedented in the observational period often have substantial impacts due to a tendency to adapt to the highest intensities, and no higher, experienced during a lifetime. Here, we show models project not only more intense extremes but also events that break previous records by much larger margins. These record-shattering extremes, nearly impossible in the absence of warming, are likely to occur in the… Expand
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