Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes
@article{Fischer2021IncreasingPO, title={Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes}, author={Erich M. Fischer and Sebastian Sippel and Reto Knutti}, journal={Nature Climate Change}, year={2021}, volume={11}, pages={689-695} }
Recent climate extremes have broken long-standing records by large margins. Such extremes unprecedented in the observational period often have substantial impacts due to a tendency to adapt to the highest intensities, and no higher, experienced during a lifetime. Here, we show models project not only more intense extremes but also events that break previous records by much larger margins. These record-shattering extremes, nearly impossible in the absence of warming, are likely to occur in the…
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