• Corpus ID: 251442713

Incorporating testing volume into estimation of effective reproduction number dynamics.

  title={Incorporating testing volume into estimation of effective reproduction number dynamics.},
  author={Isaac H. Goldstein and Jonathan Wakefield and Vladimir N. Minin},
Branching process inspired models are widely used to estimate the effective reproduction number -- a useful summary statistic describing an infectious disease outbreak -- using counts of new cases. Case data is a real-time indicator of changes in the reproduction number, but is challenging to work with because cases fluctuate due to factors unrelated to the number of new infections. We develop a new model that incorporates the number of diagnostic tests as a surveillance model covariate. Using… 

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