Incidence calculus: A mechanism for probabilistic reasoning

@article{Bundy1984IncidenceCA,
  title={Incidence calculus: A mechanism for probabilistic reasoning},
  author={Alan Bundy},
  journal={Journal of Automated Reasoning},
  year={1984},
  volume={1},
  pages={263-283}
}
Mechanisms for the automation of uncertainty are required for expert systems. Sometimes these mechanisms need to obey the properties of probabilistic reasoning. We argue that a purely numeric mechanism, like those proposed so far, cannot provide a probabilistic logic with truth functional connectives. We propose an alternative mechanism, Incidence Calculus, which is based on a representation of uncertainty using sets of points, which might represent situations models or possible worlds… CONTINUE READING
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