Improving Forecasts of State Failure

  title={Improving Forecasts of State Failure},
  author={G. King and Gary Langche Zeng},
  journal={World Politics},
  pages={623 - 658}
  • G. King, Gary Langche Zeng
  • Published 2001
  • Economics
  • World Politics
  • We offer the first independent scholarly evaluation of the claims, forecasts, and causal inferences of the State Failure Task Force and their efforts to forecast when states will fail. State failure refers to the collapse of the authority of the central government to impose order, as in civil wars, revolutionary wars, genocides, politicides, and adverse or disruptive regime transitions. This task force, set up at the behest of Vice President Gore in 1994, has been led by a group of… CONTINUE READING

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