Improving 104-year surge level estimates using data of the ECMWF seasonal prediction system

@inproceedings{Brink2004Improving1S,
  title={Improving 104-year surge level estimates using data of the ECMWF seasonal prediction system},
  author={Henk van den Brink and G{\"u}nther P. K{\"o}nnen and J. D. Opsteegh and Geert Jan van Oldenborgh and Gerrit J. H. Burgers},
  year={2004}
}
[1] The vulnerability of society on extreme weather has resulted in extensive research on the statistics of extremes. Although the theoretical framework of extreme value statistics is well developed, meteorological applications are often limited by the relative shortness of the available datasets. In order to overcome this problem, we use archived data from all past seasonal forecast ensemble runs of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). For regions where the forecasts… CONTINUE READING
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