Hypothesis generation, probability judgment, and individual differences in working memory capacity.

@article{Dougherty2003HypothesisGP,
  title={Hypothesis generation, probability judgment, and individual differences in working memory capacity.},
  author={Michael R. Dougherty and Jennifer E Hunter},
  journal={Acta psychologica},
  year={2003},
  volume={113 3},
  pages={263-82}
}
This research examined the role of working memory (WM) in probability judgment and hypothesis generation using a simulated task that involved estimating the likelihood that particular menu items would be ordered by customers at a dinner. Five main findings were observed. First, judgments of the likelihood of individual items were made relative to alternatives retrieved from long-term memory. Second, the number of alternatives retrieved was positively correlated with a measure of WM-capacity… CONTINUE READING

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Hypothesis generation in an automobile malfunction inference

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