Hypothesis Tests for Evaluating Numerical Precipitation Forecasts

  title={Hypothesis Tests for Evaluating Numerical Precipitation Forecasts},
  author={Thomas M. Hamill},
When evaluating differences between competing precipitation forecasts, formal hypothesis testing is rarely performed. This may be due to the difficulty in applying common tests given the spatial correlation of and nonnormality of errors. Possible ways around these difficulties are explored here. Two datasets of precipitation forecasts are evaluated, a set of two competing gridded precipitation forecasts from operational weather prediction models and sets of competing probabilistic quantitative… CONTINUE READING
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