Hurricane Forecasting : The State of the Art

  title={Hurricane Forecasting : The State of the Art},
  author={Hugh Willoughby and E. N. Rappaport and Frank D. Marks},
In this article, we summarize current forecasting practice, the performance of the forecasting enterprise, and the impacts of tropical cyclones from a meteorological perspective. In the past, a forecast was considered successful if it predicted the hurricane’s position and intensity 12–72 h into the future. By the 1990s, forecast users came to expect more specific details such as spatial distributions of rainfall, winds, flooding, and high seas. In the early 21st century, forecasters extended… CONTINUE READING