How will Earth's surface temperature change in future decades?

@article{Lean2009HowWE,
  title={How will Earth's surface temperature change in future decades?},
  author={Judith L. Lean and David Rind},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  year={2009},
  volume={36}
}
  • J. LeanD. Rind
  • Published 16 August 2009
  • Environmental Science
  • Geophysical Research Letters
Reliable forecasts of climate change in the immediate future are difficult, especially on regional scales, where natural climate variations may amplify or mitigate anthropogenic warming in ways that numerical models capture poorly. By decomposing recent observed surface temperatures into components associated with ENSO, volcanic and solar activity, and anthropogenic influences, we anticipate global and regional changes in the next two decades. From 2009 to 2014, projected rises in anthropogenic… 

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