How to interpret the transmissibility of novel influenza A(H7N9): an analysis of initial epidemiological data of human cases from China

@inproceedings{Nishiura2013HowTI,
  title={How to interpret the transmissibility of novel influenza A(H7N9): an analysis of initial epidemiological data of human cases from China},
  author={Hiroshi Nishiura and Kenji Mizumoto and Keisuke Ejima},
  booktitle={Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling},
  year={2013}
}
As the human infections with novel influenza A(H7N9) virus have been reported from several different provinces in China, the pandemic potential of the virus has been questioned. The presence of human-to-human transmission has not been demonstrated,but the absence of demonstration does not guarantee that there is no such transmission. A mathematical model of cluster size distribution is devised without imposing an assumption of subcriticality of the reproduction number and accounting for right… CONTINUE READING
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