Historical Warnings of Future Food Insecurity with Unprecedented Seasonal Heat

@article{Battisti2009HistoricalWO,
  title={Historical Warnings of Future Food Insecurity with Unprecedented Seasonal Heat},
  author={David S. Battisti and Rosamond L. Naylor},
  journal={Science},
  year={2009},
  volume={323},
  pages={240 - 244}
}
Higher growing season temperatures can have dramatic impacts on agricultural productivity, farm incomes, and food security. We used observational data and output from 23 global climate models to show a high probability (>90%) that growing season temperatures in the tropics and subtropics by the end of the 21st century will exceed the most extreme seasonal temperatures recorded from 1900 to 2006. In temperate regions, the hottest seasons on record will represent the future norm in many locations… 
View on AAAS
science.sciencemag.org
1,462 Citations
Highly Influential Citations
39
Background Citations
591
Methods Citations
17
Results Citations
9

1,462 Citations

Citation Type

Citation Type

Bambara Groundnut for Food Security in the Changing African Climate
Global food production must respond to the demands of a growing world population, and to the hazards of climate change. Higher temperatures, unpredictable rainfall and weather patterns, changes in…
Food Security in the Face of Salinity, Drought, Climate Change, and Population Growth
Climate Change Dynamics and Imperatives for Food Security in Nigeria
Decadal variability in African rainfall is projected from General Circulation Models (GCMs) to continue under elevated greenhouse gas scenarios. Effects on rain intensity, spatio-temporal variability…
Projected temperature increases may require shifts in the growing season of cool-season crops and the growing locations of warm-season crops.
Food Security Implications of Climate Variability and Climate Change
Analysis and Short-Term Forecast of Climatic Changes in the Adaptive Breeding of Spring Cereals
Abstract Global climate warming increased the occurrence frequency of extreme weather anomalies: heat waves, droughts, and rainstorms. The forecasted 1.5°C increase in temperature by 2050 indicates…
World Food Security: The Challenges of Climate Change and Bioenergy
Over 1.02 billion people in the world suffer from hunger today. Securing world food security in light of the impact of climate change may be one of the biggest challenges we face in this century.…
Delayed Seasonal Cycle and African Monsoon in a Warmer Climate
Increasing greenhouse gases will change many aspects of the Earth's climate, from its annual mean to the frequency of extremes such as heat waves and droughts. Here we report that the current…
Large scale tropical deforestation drives extreme warming
Accelerating deforestation rates in Earth's tropical rainforests have dramatic impacts on local public health, agricultural productivity, and global climate change. We used satellite observations to…
Climate Change: New Breeding Pressures and Goals
...
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 50 REFERENCES
Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptation Needs for Food Security in 2030
TLDR
Results indicate South Asia and Southern Africa as two regions that, without sufficient adaptation measures, will likely suffer negative impacts on several crops that are important to large food-insecure human populations.
Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming.
  • S. Peng, Jianliang Huang, K. Cassman
  • Environmental Science, Medicine
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
  • 2004
TLDR
This report provides a direct evidence of decreased rice yields from increased nighttime temperature associated with global warming and a close linkage between rice grain yield and mean minimum temperature during the dry cropping season.
Impacts of Summer 2003 Heat Wave in Europe
The extreme drought and heat wave that hit Europe in the summer of 2003 had enormous adverse social, economic and environmental effects, such as the death of thousands of vulnerable elderly people,…
Why are agricultural impacts of climate change so uncertain? The importance of temperature relative to precipitation
Estimates of climate change impacts are often characterized by large uncertainties that reflect ignorance of many physical, biological, and socio-economic processes, and which hamper efforts to…
Genetic approaches to crop improvement: responding to environmental and population changes
TLDR
Progress has been made in the isolation and functional analyses of genes controlling yield and tolerance to abiotic stresses and promising new methods are being developed for identifying additional genes and variants of interest and putting these to practical use in crop improvement.
The effect of drought and heat stress on reproductive processes in cereals.
TLDR
The results achieved so far indicate that various plant organs, in a definite hierarchy and in interaction with each other, are involved in determining crop yield under stress.
Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability
Foreword Preface Introduction Summary for policymakers Technical summary 1. Assessment of observed changes and responses in natural and managed systems 2. New assessment methodologies and the…
Nonlinear Effects of Weather on Corn Yields
This paper examines the reduced-form relationship between weather and yields using a unique data set of maize yields and daily weather records covering the eastern USA for 1950-2004. Since weather…
Climate Dependence and Food Problems in Russia, 1900-1990: The Interaction of Climate and Agricultural Policy and Their Effect on Food Problems
List of Figures List of Tables Preface Chapter 1. Introduction: climate and agriculture in Russia Chapter 2. The availability and reliability of statistical agricultural data for Russia 2.1. The…
Linkage disequilibrium — understanding the evolutionary past and mapping the medical future
TLDR
The linkage disequilibrium process, the nonrandom association of alleles at different loci, and the population genetic processes that affect it are reviewed.
...
...