Detecting Sudden and Gradual Drifts in Business Processes from Execution Traces
Operational processes need to change to adapt to changing circumstances, e.g., new legislation, extreme variations in supply and demand, seasonal effects, etc. While the topic of flexibility is well-researched in the BPM domain, contemporary process mining approaches assume the process to be in steady state. When discovering a process model from event logs, it is assumed that the process at the beginning of the recorded period is the same as the process at the end of the recorded period. Obviously, this is often not the case due to the phenomenon known as concept drift. While cases are being handled, the process itself may be changing. This paper presents an approach to analyze such second-order dynamics. The approach has been implemented in ProM and evaluated by analyzing an evolving process.