Group-Based Trajectory Modeling (Nearly) Two Decades Later

  title={Group-Based Trajectory Modeling (Nearly) Two Decades Later},
  author={Daniel S. Nagin and Candice L. Odgers},
  booktitle={Journal of quantitative criminology},
Nearly two decades have passed since the publication of ‘‘Age, Criminal Careers, and Population Heterogeneity: Specification and Estimation of a Nonparametric Mixed Poisson Model’’ by Nagin and Land (1993). In that article Nagin and Land laid out a statistical method that has come to be called group-based trajectory modeling. The principle objective of the paper was to address issues related to the ‘‘hot topic’’ of the time—the criminal career debate—not to lay out a new statistical methodology… CONTINUE READING
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