Global short-term forecasting of COVID-19 cases

  title={Global short-term forecasting of COVID-19 cases},
  author={Thiago de Paula Oliveira and Rafael de Andrade Moral},
  journal={Scientific Reports},
The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The strategies adopted by countries to combat the pandemic vary, generating different uncertainty levels about the actual number of cases. Accounting for the hierarchical structure of the data and accommodating extra-variability is therefore fundamental. We introduce a new modelling framework to describe the pandemic’s… Expand
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