Global river nutrient export: A scenario analysis of past and future trends

@article{Seitzinger2010GlobalRN,
  title={Global river nutrient export: A scenario analysis of past and future trends},
  author={S. P. Seitzinger and Emilio Mayorga and Alexander F. Bouwman and Carolien Kroeze and Arthur H. W. Beusen and Gilles Billen and Gerard van Drecht and Egon Dumont and Bal{\'a}zs M. Fekete and Josette Garnier and John A. Harrison},
  journal={Global Biogeochemical Cycles},
  year={2010},
  volume={24}
}
An integrated modeling approach was used to connect socioeconomic factors and nutrient management to river export of nitrogen, phosphorus, silica and carbon based on an updated Global NEWS model. Past trends (1970–2000) and four future scenarios were analyzed. Differences among the scenarios for nutrient management in agriculture were a key factor affecting the magnitude and direction of change of future DIN river export. In contrast, connectivity and level of sewage treatment and P detergent… 

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