Global and Local Pessimistic Meta-inductions
@article{Ruhmkorff2013GlobalAL,
title={Global and Local Pessimistic Meta-inductions},
author={Samuel Ruhmkorff},
journal={International Studies in the Philosophy of Science},
year={2013},
volume={27},
pages={409 - 428}
}The global pessimistic meta-induction argues from the falsity of scientific theories accepted in the past to the likely falsity of currently accepted scientific theories. I contend that this argument commits a statistical error previously unmentioned in the literature and is self-undermining. I then compare the global pessimistic meta-induction to a local pessimistic meta-induction based on recent negative assessments of the reliability of medical research. If there is any future in drawing… CONTINUE READING
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