Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts

  title={Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts},
  author={Kesten C. Green and J. Scott Armstrong},
  journal={Energy \& Environment},
  pages={1021 - 997}
In 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Working Group One, a panel of experts established by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme, issued its Fourth Assessment Report. The Report included predictions of dramatic increases in average world temperatures over the next 92 years and serious harm resulting from the predicted temperature increases. Using forecasting principles as our guide we asked: Are these forecasts a good basis for… 
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