Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

@article{Vos2015GlobalRA,
  title={Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013},
  author={T. Vos and Ryan M. Barber and Bradley B. Bell and A. Bertozzi-Villa and S. Biryukov and I. Bolliger and F. Charlson and A. Davis and L. Degenhardt and D. Dicker and L. Duan and H. Erskine and V. Feigin and A. Ferrari and C. Fitzmaurice and T. Fleming and Nicholas Graetz and C. Guinovart and J. Haagsma and Gillian M Hansen and S. Hanson and Kyle Heuton and H. Higashi and N. Kassebaum and Hmwe H. Kyu and Eva Laurie and Xiofeng Liang and Katherine T. Lofgren and R. Lozano and Michael F Macintyre and M. Moradi-Lakeh and M. Naghavi and Grant Nguyen and S. Odell and Katrina F. Ortblad and D. Roberts and Gregory A. Roth and Logan Sandar and Peter T. Serina and J. Stanaway and C. Steiner and Bernadette A. Thomas and S. Vollset and H. Whiteford and Timothy M. Wolock and P. Ye and Maigeng Zhou and M. Avila and G. M. Aasvang and C. Abbafati and A. Ozgoren and F. Abd-allah and M. Aziz and S. Abera and V. Aboyans and J. Abraham and Biju Abraham and I. Abubakar and L. Abu-Raddad and N. Abu-Rmeileh and Tania C Aburto and T. Achoki and I. Ackerman and A. Adelekan and Z. Ademi and A. K. Adou and J. Adsuar and J. Arnlov and E. Agardh and M. Khabouri and S. S. Alam and D. Alasfoor and M. Albittar and M. Alegretti and A. Aleman and Z. A. Alemu and R. Alfonso-Cristancho and Samia Alhabib and R. Ali and F. Alla and P. Allebeck and Peter J Allen and Mohammad A. Almazroa and U. Alsharif and E. {\'A}lvarez and N. Alvis-Guzm{\'a}n and O. Ameli and H. Amini and W. Ammar and B. Anderson and H. R. Anderson and C. A. Antonio and P. Anwari and Henry Apfel and Valentain S Arsic Arsenijevic and A. Artaman and R. Asghar and R. Assadi and Lydia S. Atkins and C. Atkinson and A. Badawi and M. Bahit and Talal Bakfalouni and K. Balakrishnan and Shivanthi Balalla and A. Banerjee and S. Barker-Collo and S. Barquera and L. Barregard and L. Barrero and S. Basu and A. Basu and A. Baxter and J. Beardsley and Neeraj Bedi and E. Beghi and T. Bekele and M. Bell and C. Benjet and D. Bennett and I. Bense{\~n}or and H. Benzian and E. Bernab{\'e} and T. Beyene and N. Bhala and A. Bhalla and Z. Bhutta and Kelly Bienhoff and B. Bikbov and A. Abdulhak and J. Blore and F. Blyth and M. Bohensky and B. Başara and G. Borges and N. Bornstein and D. Bose and S. Boufous and R. Bourne and L. Boyers and M. Brainin and M. Brauer and C. Brayne and A. Brazinova and N. Breitborde and H. Brenner and A. Briggs and P. Brooks and Jonathan C. Brown and T. Brugha and R. Buchbinder and G. Buckle and G. Bukhman and A. Bulloch and Michael Burch and R. Burnett and Rosario C{\'a}rdenas and N. Cabral and I. C. Nonato and J. Campuzano and J. Carapetis and David O Carpenter and V. Caso and C. Casta{\~n}eda-Orjuela and F. Catal{\'a}-L{\'o}pez and V. Chadha and Jung-Chen Chang and Honglei Chen and Wanqing Chen and P. Chiang and Odgerel Chimed-Ochir and R. Chowdhury and H. Christensen and C. Christophi and S. Chugh and M. Cirillo and Megan S Coggeshall and A. Cohen and V. Colistro and Samantha M. Colquhoun and Alejandra G Contreras and Leslie Cooper and C. Cooper and Kimberly Cooperrider and J. Coresh and M. Cortinovis and M. Criqui and J. Crump and L. Cuevas-Nasu and R. Dandona and L. Dandona and E. Dansereau and H. G. Dant{\'e}s and P. Dargan and G. Davey and D. Davițoiu and A. Dayama and V. D. L. Cruz-G{\'o}ngora and S. Vega and D. Leo and B. Pozo-Cruz and R. Dellavalle and K. Deribe and S. Derrett and D. D. Jarlais and Muluken Dessalegn and G. DeVeber and S. Dharmaratne and C. D{\'i}az-Torn{\'e} and E. Ding and K. Dokova and E. Dorsey and T. Driscoll and H. Duber and Adnan M. Durrani and K. Edmond and R. Ellenbogen and M. Endres and S. P. Ermakov and B. Eshrati and A. Esteghamati and Kara Estep and S. Fahimi and F. Farzadfar and Derek F J Fay and D. Felson and S. Fereshtehnejad and J. Fernandes and C. P. Ferri and A. Flaxman and N. Foigt and Kyle Foreman and F. Fowkes and R. Franklin and T. Furst and N. Futran and B. Gabbe and F. Gankp{\'e} and Francisco A Garc{\'i}a-Guerra and J. Geleijnse and B. Gessner and K. Gibney and R. Gillum and I. Ginawi and M. Giroud and G. Giussani and S. Goenka and K. Goginashvili and Philimon N. Gona and Teresita Gonz{\'a}lez de Cos{\'i}o and R. Gosselin and C. Gotay and A. Goto and H. Gouda and R. Guerrant and H. Gugnani and D. Gunnell and Rajeev Gupta and Rahul Gupta and R. A. Guti{\'e}rrez and N. Hafezi-Nejad and H. Hagan and Y. Halasa and R. Hamadeh and Hannah Hamavid and M. Hammami and G. Hankey and Y. Hao and H. Harb and J. Haro and Rasmus J Havmoeller and R. Hay and S. Hay and M. Hedayati and I. B. H. Pi and P. Heydarpour and M. H{\'i}jar and H. Hoek and H. Hoffman and J. Hornberger and H. Hosgood and Mazeda Hossain and P. Hotez and D. Hoy and M. Hsairi and Howard Hu and G. Hu and John J Emmanuel Huang and Cheng Huang and L. Huiart and A. Husseini and Marissa L Iannarone and K. Iburg and K. Innos and M. Inoue and K. Jacobsen and S. Jassal and P. Jeemon and Paul N Jensen and V. Jha and G. Jiang and Ying Jiang and J. Jonas and Jonathan C Joseph and K. Juel and H. Kan and A. Karch and C. Karimkhani and G. Karthikeyan and R. Katz and Anil Kaul and N. Kawakami and D. Kazi and A. Kemp and A. Kengne and Y. Khader and S. Khalifa and E. Khan and G. Khan and Y. Khang and I. Khonelidze and C. Kieling and Daniel Kim and Sungroul Kim and R. Kimokoti and Y. Kinfu and J. Kinge and B. Kissela and M. Kivipelto and L. Knibbs and A. Knudsen and Y. Kokubo and S. Kosen and Alexander Kramer and Michael A Kravchenko and R. Krishnamurthi and S. Krishnaswami and B. K. Defo and B. K. Bicer and E. Kuipers and Veena S. Kulkarni and Kaushalendra Kumar and G. A. Kumar and G. Kwan and T. Lai and R. Lalloo and H. Lam and Q. Lan and V. Lansingh and H. Larson and A. Larsson and Alicia EB Lawrynowicz and J. Leasher and Jong-Tae Lee and J. Leigh and R. Leung and M. Levi and Bin Li and Yichong Li and Yongmei Li and Juan Liang and Stephen S. Lim and Hsien-Ho Lin and Margaret L Lind and M. Lindsay and S. Lipshultz and Shiwei Liu and B. Lloyd and S. L. Ohno and G. Logroscino and K. Looker and Alan D. Lopez and N. L{\'o}pez-Olmedo and J. Lortet-Tieulent and P. Lotufo and N. Low and R. Lucas and R. Lunevicius and R. Lyons and Jixiang Ma and Stefan Ma and M. Mackay and M. Majdan and R. Malekzadeh and C. Mapoma and W. Marcenes and L. March and Christopher Margono and G. Marks and M. Marzan and J. Masci and A. Mason-Jones and R. Matzopoulos and B. Mayosi and Tasara Mazorodze and Neil W Mcgill and J. McGrath and M. Mckee and Abigail Mclain and B. McMahon and P. Meaney and M. Mehndiratta and Fabiola Mej{\'i}a-Rodr{\'i}guez and W. Mekonnen and Y. Melaku and M. Meltzer and Z. Memish and G. Mensah and A. Meretoja and F. Mhimbira and R. Micha and T. Miller and E. Mills and P. Mitchell and C. Mock and T. Moffitt and N. Ibrahim and K. A. Mohammad and A. Mokdad and G. Mola and L. Monasta and M. Montico and T. Montine and A. Moore and A. Moran and L. Morawska and R. Mori and J. Moschandreas and W. Moturi and Madeline L Moyer and D. Mozaffarian and U. Mueller and Mitsuru Mukaigawara and M. Murdoch and Joseph Murray and Kinnari S Murthy and Paria Naghavi and Z. Nahas and A. Naheed and K. Naidoo and L. Naldi and Devina Nand and V. Nangia and K. Narayan and Denis Nash and C. Nejjari and S. Neupane and L. Newman and C. Newton and Marie Ng and F. Ngalesoni and N. T. Nhung and M. Nisar and S. Nolte and O. Norheim and R. Norman and B. Norrving and L. Nyakarahuka and I. Oh and T. Ohkubo and S. Omer and John Nelson Opio and Alberto Ortiz and J. Pandian and C. Panelo and C. Papachristou and Eun-Kee Park and C. Parry and A. P. Caicedo and S. Patten and Vinod K Paul and B. Pavlin and N. Pearce and L. Pedraza and C. Pellegrini and David M Pereira and F. Perez-Ruiz and N. Perico and A. Pervaiz and K. Pesudovs and C. Peterson and M. Petzold and M. Phillips and D. Phillips and B. Phillips and F. Piel and D. Plass and D. Poenaru and G. Polanczyk and S. Polinder and C. Pope and S. Popova and R. Poulton and F. Pourmalek and D. Prabhakaran and N. Prasad and D. Qato and D. A. Quistberg and Anwar Rafay and K. Rahimi and V. Rahimi-Movaghar and S. Rahman and M. Raju and I. Rakovac and S. Rana and H. Razavi and A. Refaat and J. Rehm and G. Remuzzi and S. Resnikoff and A. Ribeiro and Patricia M. Riccio and Lee Richardson and J. Richardus and A. Riederer and Margot Robinson and A. Roca and Alina Rodriguez and D. Rojas-Rueda and L. Ronfani and D. Rothenbacher and N. Roy and G. Ruhago and Nsanzimana Sabin and R. Sacco and Kjetil Ksoreide and S. Saha and R. Sahathevan and M. Sahraian and U. Sampson and J. Sanabria and L. S{\`a}nchez-Riera and I. Santos and Maheswar Satpathy and J. Saunders and M. Sawhney and M. Saylan and P. Scarborough and B. Schoettker and Ione JC Schneider and D. Schwebel and James G. Scott and S. Seedat and S. Sepanlou and B. Serdar and E. Serv{\'a}n-Mori and K. Shackelford and A. Shaheen and S. Shahraz and T. Levy and Siyi Shangguan and Jun She and S. Sheikhbahaei and D. Shepard and P. Shi and K. Shibuya and Y. Shinohara and R. Shiri and K. Shishani and I. Shiue and M. Shrime and I. Sigfusdottir and D. Silberberg and E. Simard and S. Sindi and J. Singh and L. Singh and V. Skirbekk and K. Sliwa and M. Soljak and S. Soneji and S. Soshnikov and Peter Speyer and L. Sposato and C. Sreeramareddy and H. Stoeckl and V. Stathopoulou and Nadine Steckling and M. Stein and Dan J Stein and T. Steiner and Andrea Stewart and Eden Stork and L. Stovner and K. Stroumpoulis and L. Sturua and B. Sunguya and M. Swaroop and Bryan L. Sykes and K. Tabb and Ken Takahashi and Feng Tan and N. Tandon and D. Tann{\'e} and Marcel Tanner and M. Tavakkoli and H. Taylor and B. Ao and A. M. Temesgen and M. Have and E. Tenkorang and A. Terkawi and A. Theadom and Elissa Thomas and A. Thorne-Lyman and A. Thrift and I. Tleyjeh and M. Tonelli and F. Topouzis and J. Towbin and Hideaki Toyoshima and J. Traebert and B. Tran and L. Trasande and M. Trillini and T. Truelsen and Ulises Trujillo and M. Tsilimbaris and E. Tuzcu and K. Ukwaja and E. Undurraga and S. Uzun and W. Brakel and S. V. D. Vijver and R. V. Dingenen and C. V. Gool and Yuri Y Varakin and T. Vasankari and M. Vavilala and L. Veerman and G. Velasquez-Melendez and N. Venketasubramanian and L. Vijayakumar and S. Villalpando and F. Violante and V. Vlassov and Stephen B. Waller and M. Wallin and X. Wan and Linhong Wang and Jianli Wang and Yanping Wang and T. S. Warouw and S. Weichenthal and E. Weiderpass and R. Weintraub and A. Werdecker and K. Wessells and R. Westerman and J. Wilkinson and H. Williams and T. Williams and S. Woldeyohannes and C. Wolfe and J. Q. Wong and Haidong Wong and A. Woolf and Jonathan L. Wright and Brittany R. Wurtz and Gelin Xu and Gonghuan Yang and Y. Yano and M. Yenesew and G. Yentur and Paul Yip and N. Yonemoto and Seok-Jun Yoon and M. Younis and Chuanhua Yu and Kim Yun Kim and M. Zaki and Yong Zhang and Zheng Zhao and Yong Zhao and Jun Zhu and D. Zonies and J. Zunt and J. Salomon and C. Murray},
  journal={The Lancet},
  year={2015},
  volume={386},
  pages={743-800}
}
BACKGROUND Up-to-date evidence about levels and trends in disease and injury incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) is an essential input into global, regional, and national health policies. In the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013), we estimated these quantities for acute and chronic diseases and injuries for 188 countries between 1990 and 2013. METHODS Estimates were calculated for disease and injury incidence, prevalence, and YLDs using GBD 2010 methods… Expand
Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
TLDR
Ageing of the world's population is increasing the number of people living with sequelae of diseases and injuries, and a summary indicator that combines measures of income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility (the Socio-demographic Index) is created and used to compare observed patterns of health loss to the expected pattern for countries or locations with similar SDI scores. Expand
Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders during 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
TLDR
The burden of neurological disorders has increased substantially over the past 25 years because of expanding population numbers and ageing, despite substantial decreases in mortality rates from stroke and communicable neurological disorders. Expand
The global, regional, and national burden of pancreatitis in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
TLDR
The age-standardized prevalence and YLDs rates increased, but the age- standardized incidence rate decreased from 1990 to 2017, and improving the quality of pancreatitis health data in all regions and countries is strongly recommended. Expand
Global burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors for young people's health during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
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The past, present, and anticipated burden of disease in young people aged 10-24 years from 1990 to 2013 is reported using data on mortality, disability, injuries, and health risk factors. Expand
Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
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The Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study provides a comprehensive assessment of all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015, finding several countries in sub-Saharan Africa had very large gains in life expectancy, rebounding from an era of exceedingly high loss of life due to HIV/AIDS. Expand
Incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years and risk factors of cancer in Australia and comparison with OECD countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015.
TLDR
The incidence of cancer has increased over 25 years, and behavioral risks are responsible for a large proportion of cancer deaths, and scaling up of prevention, early detection, and treatment of cancer is required to effectively address this growing health challenge. Expand
Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990–2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition
TLDR
Patterns of the epidemiological transition with a composite indicator of sociodemographic status, which was constructed from income per person, average years of schooling after age 15 years, and the total fertility rate and mean age of the population, were quantified. Expand
Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of lower respiratory tract infections in 195 countries: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
TLDR
LRI remains a largely preventable disease and cause of death, and continued efforts to decrease indoor and ambient air pollution, improve childhood nutrition, and scale up the use of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in children and adults will be essential in reducing the global burden of LRI. Expand
Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
TLDR
This report provides national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015. Expand
Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
TLDR
The burden of neurological disorders, as measured by the absolute number of DALYs, continues to increase and the scarcity of established modifiable risks for most of the neurological burden demonstrates that new knowledge is required to develop effective prevention and treatment strategies. Expand
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