Generation of Statistical Scenarios of Short-term Wind Power Production

  title={Generation of Statistical Scenarios of Short-term Wind Power Production},
  author={Pierre Pinson and G. Papaefthymiou and Bernd Klockl and H. A. Nielsen},
  journal={2007 IEEE Lausanne Power Tech},
Short-term (up to 2-3 days ahead) probabilistic forecasts of wind power provide forecast users with a paramount information on the uncertainty of expected wind generation. Whatever the type of these probabilistic forecasts, they are produced on a per horizon basis, and hence do not inform on the development of the forecast uncertainty through forecast series. This issue is addressed here by describing a method that permits to generate statistical scenarios of wind generation that accounts for… CONTINUE READING


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