Future cardiovascular disease in china: markov model and risk factor scenario projections from the coronary heart disease policy model-china.

@article{Moran2010FutureCD,
  title={Future cardiovascular disease in china: markov model and risk factor scenario projections from the coronary heart disease policy model-china.},
  author={Andrew E Moran and Dongfeng Gu and Dong Zhao and Pamela G. Coxson and Yuanjia Wang and Chung-Shiuan Chen and Weiping Li and Jih-Ren Cheng and Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo and Yu-Ming Shen and Jiang He and Lee Goldman},
  journal={Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes},
  year={2010},
  volume={3 3},
  pages={243-52}
}
BACKGROUND The relative effects of individual and combined risk factor trends on future cardiovascular disease in China have not been quantified in detail. METHODS AND RESULTS Future risk factor trends in China were projected based on prior trends. Cardiovascular disease (coronary heart disease and stroke) in adults ages 35 to 84 years was projected from 2010 to 2030 using the Coronary Heart Disease Policy Model-China, a Markov computer simulation model. With risk factor levels held constant… CONTINUE READING
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