Forest Fires and Climate Change in the 21ST Century

@article{Flannigan2006ForestFA,
  title={Forest Fires and Climate Change in the 21ST Century},
  author={Mike D. Flannigan and Brian D. Amiro and Kim A. Logan and Brian J. Stocks and B. Michael Wotton},
  journal={Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change},
  year={2006},
  volume={11},
  pages={847-859}
}
Fire is the major stand-renewing disturbance in the circumboreal forest. Weather and climate are the most important factors influencing fire activity and these factors are changing due to human-caused climate change. This paper discusses and synthesises the current state of fire and climate change research and the potential direction for future studies on fire and climate change. In the future, under a warmer climate, we expect more severe fire weather, more area burned, more ignitions and a… Expand
View on Springer
nofc.cfs.nrcan.gc.ca
227 Citations
Highly Influential Citations
17
Background Citations
87
Methods Citations
8
Results Citations
4

Figures from this paper

227 Citations

Citation Type

Citation Type

Mid-21st-century climate changes increase predicted fire occurrence and fire season length, Northern Rocky Mountains, United States
Climate changes are expected to increase fire frequency, fire season length, and cumulative area burned in the western United States. We focus on the potential impact of mid-21st- century climate… Expand
Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire
Wildland fire is a global phenomenon, and a result of interactions between climate–weather, fuels and people. Our climate is changing rapidly primarily through the release of greenhouse gases that… Expand
Management alternatives to offset climate change effects on Mediterranean fire regimes in NE Spain
Fire regime is affected by climate and human settlements. In the Mediterranean, the predicted climate change is likely to exacerbate fire prone weather conditions, but the mid- to long-term impact of… Expand
forest ecology Future Fire Probability Modeling with Climate Change Data and Physical Chemistry
Climate has a primary influence on the occurrence and rate of combustion in ecosystems with carbon-based fuels such as forests and grasslands. Society will be confronted with the effects of climate… Expand
Contrasting fire responses to climate and management: insights from two Australian ecosystems.
TLDR
Simulated prescribed burning was more effective in reducing unplanned fire activity in the mesic landscape, whereas in the arid landscape prescribed burning reinforced a predicted decline in fire under climate change. Expand
Future Fire Probability Modeling with Climate Change Data and Physical Chemistry
Climate has a primary influence on the occurrence and rate of combustion in ecosystems with carbon-based fuels such as forests and grasslands. Society will be confronted with the effects of climate… Expand
Climate change impacts on forest fire potential in boreal conditions in Finland
The aim of this work was to study the forest fire potential and frequency of forest fires under the projected climate change in Finland (N 60°–N 70°). Forest fire index, generally utilized in… Expand
Modelling Weather and Climate Related Fire Risk in Africa
Based on regional climate model simulations conducted with RegCM3 and NCEP Reanalyses, the impact of anomalous climate forcing on environmental vulnerability to wildfire occurrence in Africa is… Expand
Effects of Climate and Extreme Events on Wildfire Regime and Their Ecological Impacts
Fire regime has been affected by climate changes in the past, and is expected to do so in relation to the projected climate warming in the near future. For the Mediterranean Basin, higher fire risk,… Expand
Increasing daily wildfire risk in the Acadian Forest Region of Nova Scotia, Canada, under future climate change
A conceptual system dynamic model of the impact of future climate change on fire risk in the Nova Scotian Acadian Forest Region (NS AFR) was developed, clarifying the influence of positive and… Expand
...
1
2
3
4
5
...

References

SHOWING 1-10 OF 56 REFERENCES
Climate change and forest fires.
TLDR
Forest fires could be viewed as an agent of change for US forests as the fire regime will respond rapidly to climate warming, which has the potential to overshadow the direct effects of climate change on species distribution and migration. Expand
Canadian boreal forest ecosystem structure and function in a changing climate: impact on fire regimes
TLDR
All indications from the modeling sector point towards unprecedented increased regional or seasonal temperatures, with projected changes most pronounced at high latitudes and there greatest in winter. Expand
Climate Change and People-Caused Forest Fire Occurrence in Ontario
Climate change that results from increasing levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere has the potential to increase temperature and alter rainfall patterns across the boreal forest region of… Expand
Climate Change and Forest Fire Potential in Russian and Canadian Boreal Forests
In this study outputs from four current General Circulation Models (GCMs) were used to project forest fire danger levels in Canada and Russia under a warmer climate. Temperature and precipitation… Expand
Vulnerability of land systems to fire: Interactions among humans, climate, the atmosphere, and ecosystems
Fires are critical elements in the Earth System, linking climate, humans, and vegetation. With 200–500 Mha burnt annually, fire disturbs a greater area over a wider variety of biomes than any other… Expand
Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires
[1] The area burned by forest fires in Canada has increased over the past four decades, at the same time as summer season temperatures have warmed. Here we use output from a coupled climate model to… Expand
The role of fire disturbance for global vegetation dynamics: coupling fire into a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model
TLDR
A fire model, running inside the modular framework of the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model, yielded fire return intervals in good agreement with observations for many regions (except parts of semiarid Africa and boreal Siberia), and it is suggested that further improvement for these regions must involve additional process descriptions such as permafrost and fuel/fire dynamics. Expand
PREDICTING THE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FIRE FREQUENCY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CANADIAN BOREAL FOREST
Although an increasing frequency of forest fires has been suggested as a consequence of global warming, there are no empirical data that have shown climatically driven increases in fire frequency… Expand
Predicting the effects of climate change on fire frequency in the southeastern Canadian boreal forest
Although an increasing frequency of forest fires has been suggested as a consequence of global warming, there are no empirical data that have shown climatically driven increases in fire frequency… Expand
The Impact of a 2 × CO2 Climate on Lightning-Caused Fires
Abstract Future climate change could have significant repercussions for lightning-caused wildfires. Two empirical fire models are presented relating the frequency of lightning fires and the area… Expand
...
1
2
3
4
5
...