# Forecasting timelines of quantum computing

@article{Sevilla2020ForecastingTO, title={Forecasting timelines of quantum computing}, author={Jaime Sevilla and C. J. Riedel}, journal={ArXiv}, year={2020}, volume={abs/2009.05045} }

We consider how to forecast progress in the domain of quantum computing. For this purpose we collect a dataset of quantum computer systems to date, scored on their physical qubits and gate error rate, and we define an index combining both metrics, the generalized logical qubit. We study the relationship between physical qubits and gate error rate, and tentatively conclude that they are positively correlated (albeit with some room for doubt), indicating a frontier of development that trades-off… CONTINUE READING

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