Forecasting the number of diabetic patients in The Netherlands in 2005.

@article{Ruwaard1993ForecastingTN,
  title={Forecasting the number of diabetic patients in The Netherlands in 2005.},
  author={Dirk Ruwaard and Rudolf T. Hoogenveen and Harry Verkleij and Daan Kromhout and Anton F. Casparie and Eduard A van der Veen},
  journal={American journal of public health},
  year={1993},
  volume={83 7},
  pages={
          989-95
        }
}
OBJECTIVES There is evidence from past decades that the number of diabetic patients has increased independently of changes in demography. A static model that takes into account only demographic changes is therefore unable to forecast the expected number of diabetic patients correctly. METHODS We developed a dynamic model in which actual incidence, prevalence, and life expectancy data are used and alternative assumptions about future trends in these parameters can be incorporated. RESULTS… CONTINUE READING
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