Forecasting the Spread of Covid-19 Under Control Scenarios Using LSTM and Dynamic Behavioral Models
@article{Zandavi2020ForecastingTS, title={Forecasting the Spread of Covid-19 Under Control Scenarios Using LSTM and Dynamic Behavioral Models}, author={S. M. Zandavi and T. H. Rashidi and Fatemeh Vafaee}, journal={ArXiv}, year={2020}, volume={abs/2005.12270} }
To accurately predict the regional spread of Covid-19 infection, this study proposes a novel hybrid model which combines a Long short-term memory (LSTM) artificial recurrent neural network with dynamic behavioral models. Several factors and control strategies affect the virus spread, and the uncertainty arisen from confounding variables underlying the spread of the Covid-19 infection is substantial. The proposed model considers the effect of multiple factors to enhance the accuracy in… CONTINUE READING
Figures, Tables, and Topics from this paper
4 Citations
Curse of Small Sample Size in Forecasting of the Active Cases in COVID-19 Outbreak
- Computer Science, Mathematics
- ArXiv
- 2020
- PDF
Analysis of COVID-19 Prevention and Control Effects Based on the SEITRD Dynamic Model and Wuhan Epidemic Statistics
- Computer Science, Medicine
- International journal of environmental research and public health
- 2020
- PDF
Forecasting of medical equipment demand and outbreak spreading based on deep long short-term memory network: the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey
- Medicine
- Signal, image and video processing
- 2021
Applications of artificial intelligence in battling against covid-19: A literature review
- Medicine
- Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
- 2020
- 4
References
SHOWING 1-10 OF 33 REFERENCES
Inferring COVID-19 spreading rates and potential change points for case number forecasts
- Computer Science, Medicine
- medRxiv
- 2020
- 43
- PDF
The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt.
- Medicine, Computer Science
- Epidemics
- 2018
- 85
- PDF
Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions
- Computer Science, Medicine
- Science
- 2020
- 231
- PDF
Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
- Geography, Medicine
- The Lancet Infectious Diseases
- 2020
- 1,158
- Highly Influential
- PDF
Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)
- Medicine
- Science
- 2020
- 1,740
- PDF
Bi-stability of SUDR+K model of epidemics and test kits applied to COVID-19
- Mathematics, Biology
- Nonlinear dynamics
- 2020
- 16
- PDF
How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic?
- Medicine
- The Lancet
- 2020
- 1,281
- PDF
Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study
- Biology, Medicine
- PLoS currents
- 2015
- 109
- PDF