Forecasting power output for grid-connected photovoltaic power system without using solar radiation measurement

  title={Forecasting power output for grid-connected photovoltaic power system without using solar radiation measurement},
  author={Cai Tao and Duan Shanxu and Chen Changsong},
  journal={The 2nd International Symposium on Power Electronics for Distributed Generation Systems},
With the increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) power system into the utility network, the issue caused by the fluctuation and intermittence of PV power output draws more attention. In order to predict the hourly power output for a PV system without any complex meteorological instrumentation, a NARX network-based forecasting model is proposed in this paper. Hottel's radiation model is applied to calculate clear-sky radiation incident on any inclined surface at any time. Furthermore… CONTINUE READING
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