Forecasting commercial change

Abstract

Why is so little in the commercial world as dependable as Moore’s law? Doesn’t that seem odd? Why is it that a savvy engineer can forecast the rate of technical change, but it is impossible to find a market analyst who can correctly (and reliably) forecast anything about market events? Three very important facts shape this pervasive uncertainty. They are… (More)
DOI: 10.1109/40.768493

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