• Corpus ID: 28103180

Forecasting Instability : Are Ethnic Wars and Muslim Countries Different ?

  title={Forecasting Instability : Are Ethnic Wars and Muslim Countries Different ?},
  author={Ted Robert Gurr},
Prepared for delivery at the 2005 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, September 1-4, 2005. Copyright by the American Poli tica Science Association. The research summarized in this paper was done as part of the wo rk of the Political Instability Task Force (formerly the State Failure Task Force), and the au thors acknowledge the invaluable work of members of the Task Force who helped design and eva luate successive versions of these models, in particular Robert H. Bates… 

Tables from this paper

Conflict Research and the ‘Decline’ of Civil War

In recent years a number of scholars have suggested that there has been a decline in the absolute numbers of civil wars since the early 1990s, and this claim is purportedly supported by empirical

War and peace: why is political stability pivotal for economic growth of OIC countries?

Since the end of World War II, Muslim countries have been plagued by sixteen major wars, many coups, political, religious and ethnic insurgency, and revolutions. While many developing countries in

North Macedonia after the Ohrid Framework Agreement: a state (in)stability?1

Independence movements triggered by the end of the Cold War ended in state collapse and the creation of new states across the European continent. The decade coloured with violent wars in the Balkan

Inward FDI performance in the muslim world: assesing business and political environments

This article aims to make a survey of business and political environments for inward Foreign Direct Investment performance of the Muslim countries. It offers a cross-country analysis of the 57 Muslim

Failing States in the Middle East and Africa: Terrorist Group Formation and Terrorist Attacks Over Time

PLUMMER, LYNN MICHELLE. Failing States in the Middle East and Africa: Terrorist Group Formation and Terrorist Attacks Over Time. (Under the direction of Dr. Margaret Zahn). Failed states have been

Iran's Youth Bulge and It's Implications for U.S. National Security

Abstract : Iran's intransigence over its nuclear development program is only the latest episode in which Tehran has made international news headlines and is at least part of the reason 27 percent of

Political Violence in South and Southeast Asia: Critical Perspectives

This volume explores the sources and manifestations of political violence in South and Southeast Asia and the myriad roles that it plays in everyday life and as part of historical narrative. It


Greed versus grievance theory has been a milestone in understanding conflicts and civil wars around the world. It has been a highly debated topic in the study of conflicts. Much has been written

Ethnic Entrepreneurs and Collective Violence: Assessing Spatial Variations in Anti- Chinese Rioting within Jakarta during the May 1998 Riots

The concept of scapegoating is frequently used to explain how opportunistic elites attempt to deflect blame onto vulnerable ethnic minorities, particularly during times of social turmoil. However,