Forecasting China’s Foreign Trade Volume with a Kernel-Based Hybrid Econometric-Ai Ensemble Learning Approach

  title={Forecasting China’s Foreign Trade Volume with a Kernel-Based Hybrid Econometric-Ai Ensemble Learning Approach},
  author={Lean Yu and Shouyang Wang and Kin Keung Lai},
  journal={Journal of Systems Science and Complexity},
Due to the complexity of economic system and the interactive effects between all kinds of economic variables and foreign trade, it is not easy to predict foreign trade volume. However, the difficulty in predicting foreign trade volume is usually attributed to the limitation of many conventional forecasting models. To improve the prediction performance, the study proposes a novel kernel-based ensemble learning approach hybridizing econometric models and artificial intelligence (AI) models to… 

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