FluSiM Simulation for Malaysia: Toward sImproved Pandemic Surveillance

  title={FluSiM Simulation for Malaysia: Toward sImproved Pandemic Surveillance},
  author={Hock Lye Koh and Su Yean Teh},
  journal={International Journal of Chemical Engineering and Applications},
  • H. Koh, S. Y. Teh
  • Published 2011
  • Medicine
  • International Journal of Chemical Engineering and Applications
The A H1N1 2009 influenza that started in Mexico in early April 2009 ultimately spread over the entire globe within a matter of a few months. Malaysia reported its first confirmed A H1N1 2009 infection on 15 May 2009. The infection persisted for 23 weeks, peaking at week 12, with a total of about thirteen thousand infections, with residual infections continuing until today. Many countries are concerned over the potential of a more severe second wave of H1N1 and have put in place contingency… 
Modeling Effectiveness of Partial Lockdown in Breaking Covid-19 Transmission Chain in Malaysia
The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) was first reported in Wuhan, China in early December 2019. On 11 March 2020, the World Health Organization declared Covid-19 a worldwide pandemic. Within six
Stochastic FluSiM for influenza transmission dynamics
  • W. K. Tan, S. Y. Teh, H. Koh
  • Medicine
    2012 International Conference on Statistics in Science, Business and Engineering (ICSSBE)
  • 2012
The in-house deterministic FluSiM model is enhanced into a stochastic model by allowing vital disease transmission process parameters, to randomly change with time, given specified means and standard deviations to investigate the uncertainty of disease evolution from its onset.


Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza
An estimate of the reproductive number for 1918 pandemic influenza is obtained by fitting a deterministic SEIR (susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered) model to pneumonia and influenza death epidemic curves from 45 US cities, which suggests that the median value is less than three.
Pandemic H1N1 influenza: predicting the course of a pandemic and assessing the efficacy of the planned vaccination programme in the United States.
  • S. Towers, Z. Feng
  • Medicine
    Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin
  • 2009
The model predicts that there will be a significant wave in autumn, with 63% of the population being infected, and that this wave will peak so early that the planned CDC vaccination campaign will likely not have a large effect on the total number of people ultimately infected by the pandemic H1N1 influenza virus.
Modelling of the influenza A(H1N1)v outbreak in Mexico City, April-May 2009, with control sanitary measures.
We use a time dependent modification of the Kermack and McKendrick model to study the evolution of the influenza A(H1N1)v epidemic reported in the Mexico City area under the control measures used
Modelling the progression of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in Vietnam and the opportunities for reassortment with other influenza viruses
It is likely that the introduction of a novel H1N1 into a densely populated country such as Vietnam will result in a widespread epidemic, and a large epidemic in a country with intense human-animal interaction and continued co-circulation of other seasonal and avian viruses would provide substantial opportunities for H1n1 to acquire new genes.
The 1918 influenza A epidemic in the city of São Paulo, Brazil.
Contagious Period for Pandemic ( H 1 N 1 ) 2009
Self-isolation only until fever abates appears insuffi cient to limit transmission, although some case-patients still would shed infectious virus.
Clinical features of the initial cases of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infection in China.
Surveillance of the 2009 H1N1 virus in China shows that the majority of those infected have a mild illness, and the duration of infection may be shortened if oseltamivir is administered.